断头谷
Most UFO reports likely to have 'ordinary' explanations, government says, as investigation continues_我的网站

A | 近期,碳酸锂主力期货合约价格持续大涨。 拓斯达宣布切入光通信赛道 8月24日晚间,拓斯达(300607)发布关于对外投资的公告。

B | The Pentagon and the U.S. intelligence community believe that as better data becomes available, the "unidentified and purported anomalous nature" of most of the hundreds of UFO reports they have been investigating will likely be explained by "ordinary phenomena," according to a government review of the incidents that was released on Wednesday.The number of accounts of unidentified anomalous phenomena, or UAPs -- which is the official name now used for what were known as UFOs -- has grown to 801, with an increase of 291 additional reports from Aug. 31,2022, to April 30 of this year, according to the new government review.The total number of UAP sightings that is being examined by the Pentagon and intelligence officials stretches back decades and includes those made by both military and civilian personnel.The report released Wednesday is the first to be compiled jointly by Pentagon and the director of national intelligence's office in light of new legislation passed by Congress.The first-ever unclassified U.S. intelligence report on UAPs was released in June 2021, also due to congressional legislation, and detailed 144 incidents -- only one of which could be explained.The new report states that the Pentagon office reviewing UAP incidents, known as the All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office, or AARO, is making progress in analyzing and integrating the hundreds of sightings it continues to receive.The report cites "gaps in domain awareness," such as a lack of information from sensor systems or other technological and mechanical issues, as the main reason for the continuing increase in the incidents being reviewed by AARO."These gaps are the direct result of insufficient data secured by radar, electro-optical (EO)/infrared (IR) sensors, the presence of sensor artifacts, such as IR flare; and optical effects such as parallax, that can cause observational misperceptions," the report states.Because the government's original UAP focus was on reports filed by military personnel, the total number of reports being investigated still tilts heavily toward those near military facilities and airspace, though that number is decreasing as more than 100 incidents from the Federal Aviation Administration are now being reviewed, according to the government report."Based on the ability to resolve cases to date, with an increase in the quality of the data secured, the unidentified and purported anomalous nature of most UAP will likely resolve to ordinary phenomena and significantly reduce the amount of UAP case submissions," the report states.

在7月22日,碳酸锂主力期货合约价格触及13.25万元/吨的阶段性低位后,近期,该期货合约价格持续大涨,8月以来,累计涨幅高达14.17%。
供给端来看,7—8月,江西、四川、青海三大主产区头部企业集中停线检修,中矿资源、天华新能、九岭锂业旗下产线陆续公布8—9月停产检修安排,行业测算累计减产约1.4万吨,砍掉国内近10%的月度有效供给,7月产量环比下滑8.8%,为年内首次回落。盐湖端同样收紧,盐湖检修令产量回落,叠加津巴布韦锂精矿到港不及预期,矿石端偏紧格局短期难解。 需求端来看,鑫椤锂电测算,8月国内电池样本企业排产203.76GWh,环比增长8.73%,超出此前预期;市场普遍预计9月正极材料排产环比再增8%到10%,“金九银十”备货窗口临近。储能与动力电池并驾齐驱,成为库存去化的主要引擎。 展望后市,华西证券指出,8月下游排产稳步高增,部分锂盐厂检修导致短期供给收缩,对锂价构成支撑。江西宜春枧下窝锂矿仍未复产,宜春其余停产换证矿山亦处于换证较早阶段,津巴布韦锂精矿到港量逐步增加,但面临年底出口配额到期后二次冲击供给的可能性。

C | 本轮周期呈现碳酸锂价格中高位的长久期。锂价自5月初大跌至今,锂矿股受此影响股价大幅回落,回调后的锂矿板块已经极具性价比。 中信建投判断,下半年需求旺季到来,碳酸锂供给缺口将逐步放大,四季度来到缺口峰值,年内价格高点或在三季度末至四季度初。

D |
锂矿股半年度业绩普遍大幅向好 截至8月24日,万得锂矿指数24只成份股均已发布2026半年报相关报告。

E | 按半年报、快报、预告中值顺序选取,11股净利润规模超过10亿元。盐湖股份、西部矿业、赣锋锂业、藏格矿业、天齐锂业净利润逾30亿元,依次为61.5亿元、41.69亿元、41.25亿元、36.38亿元、35.5亿元。

F | 盐湖股份预计上半年归母净利润60亿元至63亿元,同比增长131.38%至142.95%。报告期内,受销量及价格同比上涨驱动,氯化钾板块盈利显著增长。同时,4万吨/年基础锂盐项目量产,带动碳酸锂产销量同比提升,且市场价格呈上涨趋势,助力公司整体业绩实现大幅增长。 盐湖股份表示,公司现有锂盐年总产能约9.8万吨,产品销售结合市场需求中长期价格走势,进行动态的库存管理。销售端,公司实行“长协锁量+双周定价+点价销售”机制,搭配套期保值对冲短期价格波动。 西部矿业上半年实现营收394.43亿元,同比增长25%;归母净利润41.69亿元,同比增长123%。公司持有青海东台吉乃尔锂资源股份有限公司27%股权,同时持有控股股东青海泰丰先行锂能科技(集团)6.29%股权。公司将利用青海省矿产资源储量丰富的优势,夯实公司主业,保证矿山有序开发,实现国有资产保值增值。 从净利润变动看,融捷股份、雅化集团、永兴材料、盐湖股份、川能动力、西部矿业、藏格矿业7股净利润同比实现翻倍增长。融捷股份增幅居首,高达1076.14%;雅化集团随后,增幅783.83%。 雅化集团预计上半年实现归母净利润11亿元至13亿元,同比增长710.17%至857.48%。

G | 报告期内,锂盐市场价格持续上行,公司锂盐产品销量和销售均价同步增长,主营业务收入显著提升。公司不断深化全链条生产运营管理,加强矿、产、销平衡,持续优化生产效率、严控生产成本,盈利水平同步改善。 此外,赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、天华新能、中矿资源等8家企业上半年实现扭亏为盈。

H | 赣锋锂业24日晚间公告,赣锋国际与LAR已就共同开发PPGS锂盐湖项目签署一系列确定性关键协议,将项目整合至Millennial旗下。整合完成后,赣锋国际与LAR将分别持有Millennial 67%和33%股权,按比例共同持有项目权益。项目规划分三期建设,总设计产能为年产15万吨碳酸锂当量,预计2026年第三季度末完成整合,并于年底前获RIGI批准。

I |
(文章来源:数据宝)。

J |
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